Crypto Market Continues Its Upward Drift Amid Caution

Market Overview
The global cryptocurrency market is showing a slow but steady rise, with total market capitalization increasing by roughly 1.8% over the last week. Despite this overall growth, there was a slight pullback of 0.6% in the last 24 hours, bringing the market cap to around $3.35 trillion. This indicates some hesitation from investors at higher levels—buying pressure still exists, but momentum is not fully convincing. The fact that prices are holding above the 200-day moving average suggests a broader bullish trend is still intact.

Bitcoin’s Performance
Bitcoin is currently trading around $108,500. The recent attempt to break past $110,000 met strong resistance, leading to a pullback toward the 50-day moving average. This zone has become a short-term support where buyers have stepped in. The reluctance of the market to push decisively above $110,000 shows that bullish enthusiasm is starting to fade, at least temporarily.


Key Highlights

Slower ETF Inflows
Crypto-based investment products saw a decline in net inflows, with figures down significantly compared to previous weeks. Despite this, Bitcoin remains the top choice for institutional investment, followed by Ethereum and other altcoins like Solana and XRP. The 12th consecutive week of positive flows indicates sustained investor interest, though at a slower pace, suggesting increasing caution as prices hover near record levels.

Falling Activity and Volatility
On-chain activity for Bitcoin has dropped, and volatility has sunk to some of the lowest levels in recent years. This pattern is notable as it happens while the asset trades close to its historical highs. A subdued market environment could precede a sharp move in either direction.

Summer Slowdown Setting In
Trading volumes are now close to yearly lows, which aligns with the typical seasonal cooling observed during the summer. Meanwhile, a growing number of long-term holders are accumulating coins, which could lead to increased selling if confidence is shaken by macro or technical factors.

Golden Visa Rumors Denied
Reports that a Middle Eastern country was offering special visas in exchange for crypto holdings were recently clarified as inaccurate. While certain digital asset projects had proposed crypto-based residency paths, official authorities have confirmed that no such government-endorsed program currently exists.


Market Outlook

  • Short-Term: The crypto market is showing signs of fatigue after a strong run. Resistance around key psychological levels is proving tough to break, leading to choppy movement.

  • Medium-Term: Support zones are still holding, and the market remains in bullish territory as long as long-term averages are respected.

  • Investor Sentiment: Institutional participation is cooling, not exiting—this could mean consolidation rather than reversal.

  • Watch Factors: Volume trends, on-chain signals, and macroeconomic shifts will be crucial in shaping the next major move.


Final Thoughts

The cryptocurrency market is still inching upward, but signs of a cooling phase are becoming more evident. With major assets like Bitcoin struggling to break higher and trading activity softening, the coming weeks may test the strength of the current uptrend. While the broader outlook remains optimistic, short-term uncertainty and reduced investor risk appetite suggest a phase of consolidation could be underway before the next decisive move.

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